The Weekend Review

Review of the weekends action.  Who were the busts, and the money makers.

Gameweek 7

This post is actually going to be a bit shorter than usual since I'm planning to add another blog with more macro strategic topics.  Because of this a lot of the content that would be in this post will go in that one, and I will be keeping strictly to player/team related items in this post.


What I Got Right

Swansea Offense

Absolutely nailed the production of Bony, and he probably ran poorly to only get 20 pts as he could have easily had a hat trick in the game against Newcastle.  Siggy also performed well as I had expected, and if you went with Routledge instead as a budget option you were rewarded with a good return due to his goal.

Mahrez

So my value pick of the week for the 3rd straight slate has absolutely crushed.  Mahrez for only 3k had a massive 30+ point haul and I saw it coming a mile away.  I really hope many of you listened to this advice and picked him up.  I've also completely nailed the Mane pick last week, and Calhanoglu in the midweek (Leaving out Aubamayang because EVERYONE was on to that).  Unfortunately I didn't get as much exposure to Mahrez as I should have because I was worried Cambiasso might start.  Come game time having to completely re-arrange lineups when you end up with 1.5k+ extra to spend is a headache, so because of this I'll be adopting a new approach to lineup building permanently.  More on that in my Macro strategy blog.

Pool Offense... Kind Of

Pool's offensive wasn't completely sluggish, but for having an O/U of 3 goals and the highest odds of winning they struggled to eek out a 2-1 victory over a mediocre Brom team.  Sterling had his second abject performance of the week and is starting to look a bit overworked.  Balotelli was benched so I would continue to avoid pool until Sturridge gets back for the time being.   They are poor at keeping clean sheets even at home so that makes their defensive options not very appealing either.

Cross Bots 

This is going to be the term I use to refer to people who are just nailed on to get you 10 or so points just from crosses, corners, and set pieces.  Milner is the perfect example of this.   He took almost all the corners City had and had most of the attacking play down his side as well.  It will be imperative to identify this player on every team and target them for games where they will largely be on the front foot vs lesser opposition.  It is such a reliable source of points that it can't be ignored, and offers a pretty good chance of assists as well.  Unfortunately whatever stats company DK uses and deflections or own goals don't count for assists so they can eat a dick for costing me points for the second straight week (Gibbs vs Villa, Vardy vs Burnley).

Kolarov

Kolarov is a special case similar to Baines as he gets a lot of set piece duty and unlike Everton, City can actually defend.  Any game Kolarov starts he is basically a must have as they tend to funnel attacking play down his side and he has some set piece and corner duty.    Zabaletta largely suffered because of this and saw almost no attacking action.


What I Got Wrong

Swansea/Leicester Defense

I can't complain much about the Swans as I even stated I was waiting for a week to jump on Newcastle's offense, but it looks like it came a little early and the cats outta the bag on Cisse.  Pretty unfortunate as now people will bandwagon him.  I really wanted to wait for a home game to pick him and Cabella together because I was still a bit worried about fitness.  Oh well, pretty unlucky for the Swans not to hold onto the win which ultimately cost me 11 points in half my lineups with Fabianski/Taylor stack.  Same thing goes for Leicester which ultimately cost me 13 pts in every lineup besides one as I had a ton of exposure to both of these teams defense.  Ultimately though I think it was more poor luck than anything as both were fairly decent favorites to win, and Burnley needed a stoppage time free kick to equalize.  The worst part is that their poor performance snowballed into me trying to get Fancy Play Syndrome and going full YOLO to try and make up points with contrarian picks.  That decision ended up making it a big losing weekend instead of a break even or slight winning weekend.

Luxury Midfielders... Kind of

All the midfielders I advised avoiding because of price ended up having great games and weekends.  Di Maria had a monster haul, and had a lot of point consistency due to his set piece duties.  One important thing is that this may be an anomaly on set pieces due to Rooney being out.  With Rooney in the lineup I don't see Di Maria getting that sort of exposure so I will probably continue to fade him, especially in tougher matchups.  Hazard/Fabregas both had good games, with Hazard having his best performance of the year.  With that said, I'm still not convinced that luxury midfielders are the way to go, unless they are nailed on for set piece and corner duty as that will net about 10 pts a game at the least in good matchups.


Observations

Man U Defense

Man United has one of the highest cross totals in the league right now, so their defenders, specifically Rafael, and Shaw to a lesser extent will warrant serious consideration in favorable fixtures in the future.  In addition to this David De Gea is a complete sicko and probably one of the best shot stoppers in the world, so if Man U gets their defensive troubles behind they could offer some big point hauls.

Home Team Best For Value

Another week of confirmation of how valuable home field advantage is.  The best value will be found on the slight home favorites from less popular mid table sites.  You should be looking to have these sort of players in your lineups to compliment the popular plays when the top sides have easy home fixtures.  The other thing is to target teams who may appear to be on poor form but are running below expectation and playing at home, or on the flip side targeting home sides up against teams that are running above expectation.  This goes doubly so in Europe when people have even less info on the non-popular team (Malmo for example in the midweek slate).


I'll be delving deeper into some team selection and late swapping concepts in my other blog that will deal with over all strategy instead of week to week specifics.  Expect one or two blogs in the interlull (AKA the worst time of the year, which happens way too often).  For those of you who don't know the interlull is the two week break for pointless international friendlies, where one of your teams most important players will inevitably get injured.  

Anyways, even though I had a bad week I was able to give you guys some great potential picks so I hope someone was able to cash in on the Mahrez suggestion fully.